New Business Perspectives in Moldova: Economic Growth Engine for 2025

In recent years, Moldova’s economy has reached a critical inflection point. Challenged by energy, geopolitical, and infrastructure constraints, the country is implementing reforms and launching initiatives that present exceptional opportunities for businesses. According to the World Bank, EBRD, and government sources, Moldova aims to accelerate economic growth through digital, industrial, and energy sector investments, in synergy with its EU membership ambitions.

1. Current Context

The World Bank projects a modest 0.9% GDP growth in 2025, with a recovery path expected through policy reforms and investment .The government forecasts 2% growth, while private investment rebounded by 15% in 2024, driven by incentives and increased investor confidence .

2. Infrastructure & Energy Security

Following the 2022–25 energy crisis, Moldova significantly reduced its dependence on Russian gas. The Iași–Chișinău pipeline and the OMV Petrom agreement provide alternative energy sources, enhancing resilience .The EU approved a €250 million energy security package, supporting infrastructure with €60 million allocated to Transnistria .

3. Digital Transformation & Innovation

Moldova seeks to become a “100% digital country”. The IT sector now contributes 7% of GDP and 11% of exports, boosted by the IT Park that fosters startups and attracts talent . Moldova Business Week 2025 highlights the openness to local and international firms in industrial and IT sectors .

4. International Agreements & EU Integration

Moldova’s EU accession process is underway with negotiations opened in June 2024 and a targeted entry by 2028‑2030 .The DCFTA grants privileged access to EU markets, promising 15–16% export growth . At the EBA Business Outlook event, officials confirmed that the €1.9 billion EU Economic Growth Plan will support launching 5,000 enterprises and help 25,000 SMEs export to the EU .

Interesting Facts

• 15% growth in private investments in 2024, following a period of decline .

• Iași–Chișinău pipeline capable of delivering 1.85 billion m³ gas annually .

• IT Park (founded 2018) houses ~400 companies, offering tax exemptions for IT and BPO activities .

• Wineries like Cricova and Purcari reduced energy costs by 25% through solar panels .

• EU’s €250 million energy security package and Romania‑Moldova gas deal diversify supply.

Opinions & Insights

• Government & EBRD believe energy and digital infrastructure focus can double Moldova’s economy within ten years .

• World Bank emphasizes climate and green investments as critical to reducing poverty and fostering growth .

• EBA Moldova states “as we move closer to the EU, opportunities grow more numerous” .

• International experts note that Romania‑sourced gas via Neptun Deep will supply 25% of Moldova’s demand post‑2027 .

Conclusion

Moldova now faces genuine opportunities for economic transformation through digital development, energy independence, EU integration, and SME support.